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Saturday, July 5, 2003


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY




SANDOWN PARK , SATURDAY JULY 5, 2003



Going - Good to firm

BP= best odds offered by Coral Eurobet, Ladbrokes, Tote, Stanleybet, Bet365 and William Hill.


3.35pm, £370,000 Sandown Park, Coral-Eclipse (Group One), 1m 2f

1) (4) 315/-1 COMFY (USA) 4-9-07 (Khalid Abdulla) Sir Michael Stoute/Richard Hughes
Very decent juvenile two seasons ago (staying on fifth to Rock Of Gibraltar in the Dewhurst) and hard to fault comeback in a seven-furlong conditions event at Leicester on May 27. This is a much tougher proposition and he is unproven at the trip, but it would be dangerous to totally rule him out of contention. Got a bit stirred up at Leicester before the race and this is will be even more demanding.

BP = 33/1 Ladbrokes, Tote & Bet365

2) (14) 1301-315 FALBRAV (IRE) 5-9-07 (Scuderia Rencati Srl) Luca Cumani/Darryll Holland
Italy’s leading horse last season, when his wins included the Japan Cup on very fast ground. Won the Group One Prix d’Ispahan at Longchamp earlier this season but was only fifth behind Nayef in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot last time. Did not enjoy the best of runs at Royal Ascot and could well finish much closer to Nayef but he has yet to really prove himself in the very top company in Europe.

BP = 8/1 Coral & Bet365

3) (15) 5130-(1)(4)7 GRANDERA (IRE) 5-9-07 (Godolphin) Saeed bin Suroor/Frankie Dettori
There is no question that he is a high-class performer with three Group One wins in 2002 but he has his quirks. Second in this race as a three-year-old for James Fanshawe two seasons ago and would obviously have a chance if in the right mood but a risky betting proposition. Will be suited by a fast pace and Frankie Dettori is reunited with him.

BP = 10/1 Coral & Bet365

4) 1213-44 IZDIHAM (IRE) 4-9-07 b1 (Hamdan Al Maktoum) Marcus Tregoning/Willie Supple
Winner of Listed Gala Stakes over the course and distance last season but his primary aim here is to act as Nayef’s pacemaker.

BP = 150/1 Ladbrokes & William Hill

5) (11) 24210-06 KAIETEUR (USA) 4-9-07 (Susan McCarthy) Brian Meehan/Eddie Ahern
Group One winner in Germany last season on soft ground but nothing to suggest on this season’s evidence that he is capable of winning this.

BP = 100/1 Ladbrokes

6) (3) 1205-43 NARRATIVE (IRE) 5-9-07 (Godolphin) Saeed bin Suroor/ Jamie Spencer
Here to act as Grandera’s pacemaker but a fair performer in his own right, having won a Group Two in Italy last season and chased home Falbrav in a Group One in that country. He really needs further but could be still there at the death.

BP = 100/1 Ladbrokes, William Hill & Bet365

7) (5) 13421-(3)1 NAYEF (USA) 5-9-07 (Hamdan Al Maktoum) Marcus Tregoning/Richard Hills
The clear form pick of the race, having taking the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes in decisive fashion last time to add to previous wins in the Juddmonte International and Champion Stakes. Will take all the beating if he is at the top of his game. If the there is a minus, it’s that he maybe prefers longer gaps between his races. However, he is no value at all.

BP = 9/4 Coral

8) (12) 344/3-134 OLDEN TIMES 5-9-07 (Prince A A Faisal) John Dunlop/Gerald Mosse
Group One winner in France at three but injury has restricted his appearances subsequently. He is a consistent performer but had no apparent excuses behind Nayef last time and has yet to really prove himself at this level.

BP = 25/1 Tote

9) (7) 101153-3 ISLINGTON (IRE) 4-9-04 (Exors of the late Lord Weinstock) Sir Michael Stoute/Kieren Fallon
Leading three-year-old filly in Europe last season, winning the Nassau Stakes and Yorkshire Oaks as well as running well in the Arc and Breeders’ Cup. Pleasing seasonal reappearance after an interrupted preparation when third to Nayef at Royal Ascot and should strip fitter here. Trainer has fine record in this race but she may find things happening a bit too quickly.

BP = 4/1 Bet365

10) 1(1)(1)-(1)(2)(1)0 VICTORY MOON (SAF) 4-9-04 (MAD Syndicate) Mike de Kock SAF/Wayne Smith
Thrived in Dubai over the winter with victories in both UAE 2000 Guineas and the UAE Derby on dirt. Didn’t look anything special on British debut in the mile Queen Anne Stakes and looks best watched.

BP = 40/1 Ladbrokes, Tote & William Hill

11) (8) 30-145 BALESTRINI (IRE) 3-8-10 (Michael Tabor &Sue Magnier) Aidan O'Brien IRE/George Duffield
Defeated subsequent Irish Derby hero Alamshar on his comeback and ran a good race last time out when fifth in the Epsom Derby. Should be suited by this drop back to 10 furlongs and not totally out of it. Likes to be up with the pace which is often good tactics at Sandown.

BP = 18/1 Tote

12) (1) 112 DELSARTE (USA) 3-8-10 (Abdullah Saeed BelHab) Mark Johnston/Keith Dalgleish
Has had just three outings, winning a maiden at Leicester and a Listed contest at Newmarket. Maybe found a mile and a half stretching his stamina when second to High Accolade last time out in the Group Two King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot. A progressive colt who has improved sharply every time he has run and he must be given respect here. Another one who will be racing up with the pace.

BP = 20/1 Tote

13) (9) 0-(1)3216 DUTCH GOLD (USA) 3-8-10 (Sheikh Marwan Al Maktoum) Clive Brittain/Philip Robinson
Seemed to show improved form when running away with Chester Vase on penultimate start and not disgraced when sixth in Derby last time. This 10 furlongs should suit but is meant to want less fast ground.

BP = 33/1 Tote

14) (6) 1101(3)-04 HOLD THAT TIGER (USA) 3-8-10 (Michael Tabor & Sue Magnier) Aidan O'Brien IRE/Michael Kinane
Leading juvenile last season, winning the Group One Grand Criterium at Longchamp and finishing third in Breeders’ Cup Juvenile on dirt after very slow start. Ran poorly on seasonal reappearance in the Sagitta 2000 Guineas but put in a much better effort when fourth in St James’s Palace Stakes last time. Stamina not guaranteed and looks a short enough price with a fierce pace guaranteed.

BP = 11/1 Coral, Ladbrokes & William Hill

15) 11447-34 NORSE DANCER (IRE) 3-8-10 (Jeff Smith) David Elsworth/Richard Quinn
Has shown significant improvement this year to finish third in Sagitta 2000 Guineas and fourth in the Epsom Derby (ran on late from way off the pace). This trip may or may not suit him but he will like the ground. Was supplemented for this race and has a clear chance, but maybe needs everything to fall just right for him and is too short a price.

BP = 6/1 Coral, Ladbrokes, Stanleybet & Bet365

SUMMARY
The value is clearly with the three-year-olds - it could be a good year for them. Aidan O’Brien’s string has not been firing as well as usual and therefore the value is clearly with the improving DELSARTE from the in-form Mark Johnston team. Back him each way.


GOOD LUCK


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