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Saturday, July 19, 2003


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY



Saturday, July 19, 2003

3.40pm MARKET RASEN, Tote Scoop6 Summer Plate Showcase Handicap (Class B) , (Chase) (5yo+,0-145), 2m4f

BP =

1) 1427 Ei EiMichael Chapman 8-11-12 Lee Vickers (3)
Has been a grand servant to connections and a most genuine performer. However, has it all to do giving weight away to progressive rivals.

BP = 16/1 Coral, Blue Sq, Tote

2) P01- Chicuelo Martin Pipe 7-11-10v Tom Scudamore
Won this race last year but season was generally disappointing afterwards. Great chance if back to best but won race off of a lenient mark last year and will find it tougher this time.

BP = 8/1 Coral, Blue Sq, Ladbroke, Tote

3) -211 Brother Joe Philip Hobbs 9-11-04 Richard Johnson
High-class hurdler at best but somewhat enigmatic. Beaten first time out over fences but has two novice events. Potentially well handicapped and will love the ground.

BP = 8/1 Blue Sq, William Hill

4) P-1U Arctic Challenge Karl Burke 9-11-01p J P McNamara
Fair performer at best but look high enough in the weights on his overall form and looks sure to find a few too good.

BP = 25/1 Blue Squre

5) -13F Il Capitano Paul Nicholls 6-10-13 Ruby Walsh
Looked progressive earlier this year fell early last time out. Two miles is his trip, will like the ground and chance is respected.

BP = 10/1 Blue Square Tote, Bet 365, W Hill

6) 8-11 Ballycassidy Peter Bowen 7-10-13 Barry Geraghty
Former useful hurdler and has won his two starts ver fences this season on facile fashion. Look the sort of horse that his trainer does well with and good jockey booked. Major chance.

BP = 5/1 Coral, Ladbroke, Bet 365

7) 2211 Ichi BeauFerdy Murphy 9-10-11t Davy Russell
Stable had winner earlier in the week this one has been in good as well, winning his latest two starts at Hexham and Southwell. Tougher race here but is another who relishes this ground.

BP = 16/1 Tote

8) 5-29 Fiery Ring John Fowler IRE 8-10-11 Conor O'Dwyer
Irish challenger who relishes this firm ground (Listed winner). Trip no problem and another with a chance.

BP = 20/1 Bet 365

9) -112 Kaki Crazy Edward Retter 8-10-11b Miss S Gaisford (7)
Revitalised since leaving Martin Pipe with wins at Wetherby and Newton Abbott but this is much tougher.

BP = 25/1 Coral

10) 1-11 Cobbet Tom George 7-10-09 Jason Maguire
Useful but quirky performer who seems to have taken very well to fences. Potentially still well treated although may find this competitive contest a bit too much.

BP = 11/1 Blue Square

11) 3224 Batswing Brian Ellison 8-10-08 Vinny Keane
Sedgefield specialist who likes this ground but looks vulnerable to improving sorts.

BP = 16/1 Coral

12) 4222 Goldstreet Frances Crowley IRE 6-10-07b Timmy Murphy
Fairly useful performer in Ireland but doesn't really looks quite up to this.

BP = 16/1 Tote

13) 4-11 Duke Of Buckingham Paul Webber 7-10-06 Tom Doyle
Has looked good when taking his two chasing starts this season and could be well treated if able to cope with this more competitive contest.

BP = 8/1 Ladborke, W Hill

14) 11-1 Banjo HillEmma Lavelle 9-10-02 Barry Fenton
Progressive performer winning at Huntingdon, Cheltenham and Exeter. However, has struggled at this level before and is ideally suited by further.

BP = 14/1 Bet 365

15) 3531 XaipeteRichard Guest 11-10-00 Henry Oliver
Good performer in his day but unlikely he is up to a race of this quality nowadays.

BP = 20/1 Blue Square, Tote

16) 63P- Lisdante Sue Smith 10-10-00 Dominic Elsworth
Best former is over much further and not seen out since pulling up at Southwell in January. Readily passed over.

BP = 40/1 Coral, Tote

CONCLUSION: An open contest with the value lying with FIERY RING who looks well treated on his best form and is sure to be seen at his best on this ground.


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