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Saturday, July 6, 2002


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY





SATURDAY, JULY 6, 2002

THE CORAL EUROBET ECLIPSE STAKES

3.35pm £325,000 SANDOWN, 1m 2f



GOING GOOD TO SOFT - 2 millimetres of rain overnight

BP= best odds from Coral, William Hill, Ladbrokes and Tote

1) (2) 013430-120 BACH (IRE) (Satish Sanan & Sue Magnier) Aidan O'Brien IRE 5-9-07
Third in this contest last year and generally a pretty consistent sort, if a little way short of the very best. Put up a rare poor effort last time out in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot and others make more appeal today. Won’t mind any further rain. He races up with the pace and this a track which suits that style of running. He could be the value.

BP = 20/1 Ladbrokes

2) (7) 111/1-1 EQUERRY (USA) (Godolphin) Saeed bin Suroor 4-9-07 Frankie Dettori
The only member of the field going into the race unbeaten, having won all of his five starts. Is very lightly raced and has obviously had problems. Yet to run in anything above Group Three company but couldn’t have been any more impressive on his seasonal reappearance in a Group Three at Longchamp last month. Somewhat hard to assess and although he will appreciate the cut in the ground, doesn’t look to offer any real value.
BP = 5/1 Tote

3) (1) 435-013135 IMPERIAL DANCER (Imperial Racing) Mick Channon 4-9-07 Chris Catlin
Has run two good races over the course and distance in Group Three races this season and will like the easy underfoot conditions but hard to see him making any real impact at this level.

BP = 80/1 Coral, William Hill

4) (5) 53134-162 INDIAN CREEK (Seymour Cohn) David Elsworth 4-9-07 Richard Quinn
Can be rather a quirky character at times but no question that he has lots of ability. Finished a fine third at 66/1 behind Nayef in last season’s Dubai Champion Stakes at Newmarket and showed that was no fluke when putting up an impressive display to land the Group Three Earl of Sefton Stakes on his seasonal reappearance. Seemed to improve again when chasing home Grandera in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot last time where he had the likes of Banks Hill and Nayef behind him. Trainer insists he has come on since then but fast ground would have been preferable.
BP = 10/1 Coral, Ladbrokes

5) NO EXCUSE NEEDED - NON RUNNER

6) (6) 1211-22 HAWK WING (USA) (Sue Magnier) Aidan O’Brien IRE.3-8-10
Won the Aga Khan Studs National Stakes in Irealnd over a mile as a juvenile and has been second in both the 2000 Guineas and the Derby this year, being beaten by Rock Of Gibraltar at Newmarket and by High Chaparral at Epsom. Looked unlucky at Newmarket (drawn poorly) and probably didn’t quite last home at Epsom, especially on the softish ground. This could be his optimum trip and if he runs up to his best he will take all the beating. Acted well enough on soft ground in the Derby, although it is arguable that he prefers a livelier surface. No value at all.

BP = 8/15 Coral

7) (2) 1231-02 SHOLOKHOV (IRE) (Sue Magnier & Michael Tabor) Aidan O’Brien IRE 3-8-10
Won a weak Group One in the shape of the Gran Criterium at San Siro Italy last season, but was also put firmly in his place by Hawk Wing on a couple of occasions. Soundly beaten in the Sagitta 2000 Guineas on his seasonal reappearance before appearing to run the race of his life in last week’s Irish Derby when second to High Chaparral at 200/1 (led for most of the race before being headed in the final furlong and beaten three-and-a-half lengths). This race comes quite quickly and it remains to be seen whether last week’s apparent good run was a bit of a fluke.

BP = 18/1 Ladbrokes

CONCLUSION
The value is a toss-up between BACH and Indian Creek. The former is double the price of the latter and therefore gets the vote.



GOOD LUCK


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