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Saturday, May 13, 2000



THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

LINGFIELD, SATURDAY, MAY 13, 2000




3.40pm GARTNER DERBY TRIAL STAKES (CLASS A) (GROUP 3) 1 Mile 3 Furlongs 110 Yards

Going - Good to soft (good in places)

BP=best price of between William Hill, Coral and Tote

1) (5) 1-2 APOLLO VICTORIA Aiden O'Brien 3-8-07 Michael Kinane
One of Ballydoyle's 20 entries for the Vodafone Derby on June 10 and reportedly one of their stronger contenders. Won a maiden at Leopardstown in September last year over 7f on soft ground. Was surprisingly beaten by Grand Finale (receiving 7lb) at 1/5 on his seasonal reappearance over 1m 1f at Gowran Park last month. However, that form has worked out well with the winner going on to score in Listed company. Looks as if he will be suited by a step up in distance and has a major chance.

BP=100/30 Tote

2) (3) -53 BID FOR FAME Terry Mills 3-8-07 Tony Clark
Son of 1990 Derby hero Quest For Fame. Has not scored in two runs so far but ran a fair race last time behind Wellbeing in a 1m 4f maiden at Newmarket on April 18th. Looks the type to show improvement with racing (did not run as a two year old) and stable claim that he has significantly improved following his Newmarket run and will be ridden more forcefully here. Will be a fair price and could run a good race but still has something to prove.

BP=50/1 William Hill

3) (3) 1- DUBAI TWO THOUSAND Saeed Bin Suroor 3-8-07 Frankie Dettori
Has had just one run when winning over 1m on very soft ground at Longchamp in October last year. Spent the winter in Dubai and finished fifth in a private trial behind Fath (unplaced in Guineas last week). Breeding suggests that the step up in distance should suit and he must be respected. May be good value as so many oppose him.

BP=100/30 Coral & Tote

4) (1) 2132-1 ETERNAL SPRING Ed Dunlop 3-8-07 Kieren Fallon
Has had more experience than most of the other runners and has been running consistently well. Won 1m 2f Victor Chandler Blue Riband Trial at Epsom last time out on April 26 on heavy ground. Goes best when ridden from the front. Course and ground should suit but is he good enough.

BP=7/1 William Hill

5) (4) 31-13 GOING GLOBAL Sean Woods 3-8-07 John Reid
Won conditions event at Ripon on reappearance but looked a bit one paced when third behind Sahkee in Thresher Classic Trial at Sandown on April 28th. On breeding step up in distance will probably suit but still has something to prove..

BP=14/1 Coral

6) (7) 61216-041 KING O'THE MANA Richard Hannon 3-8-07 Richard Hughes
Won at Bath last time out in a weakish conditions race over 1m2f on May 2nd. Had previously been well beaten both in Thirsk Classic Trial behind Race Leader and behind Summoner at Doncaster. That form didn't look that great in last week's 2000 Guineas and this one looks opposable. The only runner not entered in the Vodafone Derby.

BP=16/1 William Hill

7) (8) 1-1 SADDLER'S QUEST Gerard Butler 3-8-07 Kevin Darley
Has done nothing wrong so far, winning 1m 2f maiden at Bath last year and making a successful seasonal reappearance over 1m 2f at in conditions event at Kempton on April 22nd. This is a step up in class but he looks sure to stay and stable has been in good form of late.
BP= 3/1 Coral & Tote

8) (6) 4-1 TRUMPET SOUND Luca Cumani 3-8-07 Gerald Mosse
Stable won this event with High Rise in 1998 who later went on to success in the Vodafone Derby. Ran rather green on only start as a two year old but make a successful debut in 1m 2f maiden at Brighton on May 4th. Bred to get the trip and although this is his stiffest task to date he must be respected.

BP=11/2 William Hill

VERDICT
A fascinating race with plenty of permutations but DUBAI TWO THOUSAND looks the value since his trainer last year David Loder thought he was as good as Dubai Millennium.



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