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5.20pm Nad Al Sheba, Saturday, March 25, 2006



THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

NAD AL SHEBA, DUBAI, SATURDAY, MARCH 25, 2006




GOING: DIRT COURSE - FAST
for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing



5:20pm UK time 9.20pm Dubai time Dubai World Cup (Sponsored by Emirates Airline) Group 1 1m 2f dirt



1)(7) 1-11 Brass Hat Bill Bradley USA 5-9-00tb Willie Martinez
Improving American runner who won the Grade Donn Handicap in the US last time out, coming with a strong run from behind to win the nine-furlong race on a sloppy track. He is a progressive sort and previously won a Grade Two. Needs to maintain his improvement but must have a good chance although unproven over this trip and a jockey riding at the track for the first time. Bettger value elsewhere.

BP=5/1

2)(5) 1-42 Chiquitin Ian Jory Saudi Arabia 6-9-00t Mick Kinane
Outsider who was outclassed in 11th last year but is otherwise a consistent sort. Trained in Saudi Arabia by an Englishman who use to be based in California. Ridden by a very experienced Irishman.

BP=66/1

3)(4) 6-71 Choctaw Nation Jeff Mullins USA 6-9-00tv Victor Espinoza
Third last year after coming from another county. He won his last year but it was just allowance class and he does not look good enough for this Group One.
BP=16/1

4)(1) 13-1 Electrocutionist Saeed Bin Suroor Dubai 5-9-00 Frankie Dettori
Made his first start on dirt a winning one over course and distance 23 days ago when the very easy winner of the Group Two Sheikh Maktoum bin Rashid Al Maktoum Challenge (Round III), scoring by seven lengths. He was a top-class performer on grass before being bought by Godolphin, winning two Group Ones. He has the class and consistency plus his pedigree is a dirt one. The only complicating factor is the number one stall. Too short a price.
BP=5/4

5)(3) 21-1 Kane Hekili Katsuhiko Sumii Japan 4-9-00 Yutake Take
The top Japanese performer on dirt. Won the Group One Japan Cup Dirt at the end of last year and made sa winning start to 2006 on February 19 in a listed race over a mile. Reputed to be a good performer. Could be anything. Better value elsewhere.

BP=9/2

6)(8) 11-4 Magna Graduate Todd Pletcher USA 4-9-00b John Velazquez
Trained by America’s top trainer, this colt is an improving sort. He strung together three successive victories at the end of last year - two Grade Threes and one Grade Two and can progress further. He was fourth to fellow US challenger Brass Hat in the Donn Handicap, his first run this year and can get a lot closer today. Terrific value.

BP=14/1

7)(6) 333- Maraahel Sir Michael Stoute UK 5-9-00v Richard Hills
First run on dirt for a very classy performer from England who was third in three Group Ones last year. Initial outing of the season and, while he must be respected, there are important questions to be answered..

BP=9/1

8)(2) 3581 Shakis Doug Watson UAE 6-9-00tv Willie Supple
Local horse who won a handicap over course and distance earlier this month. Big step up in class.

BP=66/1

9)(10) 30-0 Star King Man Hideyuki Mori Japan 7-9-00 Olivier Peslier
Veteran and much raced Japanese who ran the race of his life when beaten a neck by Kane Hekili, the number one Japanese raider, when third in the Japan Cup Dirt last year. Ran badly since but could surprise.
BP=40/1

10)(11) 14-8 Super Frolic V Cerin USA 6-9-00t Corey Nakatani
Fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Classic at the end of last year, running the race of his life. He ran a shocker on his reappearance this year but that was his first race for a while and he could spring a surprise.
BP=16/1

11)(9) 0-33 Wilko Jeremy Noseda UK 4-9-00 Garrett Gomez
Well known to British racegoers, Wilko won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile in 2004 on his first start on dirt. Has not won since after staying in America but has managed a couple of third in Grade One company so he is not totally out of it. Comes under the care of his original British trainer
BP=33/1

SUMMARY
A fascinating contest. An American horse is the best value, Magna Gratuate who can turn the tables on Brass Hat. Get on each way.


GOOD LUCK


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