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Saturday, March 11, 2006



THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

SANDOWN, SATURDAY, MARCH 11, 2006




GOING: SOFT, HEAVY IN PLACES
for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing



4:55pm - £10,000 added Sunderlands Handicap Chase, 2m



1) 4221 Jacks Craic John Spearing 7-11-12 Graham Lee
Still a novice, having only had six runs over fences. Followed two seconds at Ludlow with victory over course and distance last month in a four-runner handicap chase, beating Without A Doubt by a head. Handles soft ground but seems to have a tougher task under top-weight, having risen 3lb in the ratings. BP=3/1

2) 4373 Pak Jack Philip Hobbs 6-11-10 Richard Johnson
Decent performer at his best, finishing third to Armaturk over two miles at Lingfield in October. Disappointing last twice, running out of stamina over three miles at Huntingdon in February after three months off the track. The return to a shorter trip should suit though he needs a fast pace at this minimum distance to bring out his stamina. Like soft ground in France and maybe what he needs. BP=11/4

3) -7P4 Jurado Express Venetia Williams 10-11-09 Sam Thomas
Ran as well as could have been expected when seventh in the Victor Chandler Chase here last month after 15 months off, but has not gone on from that. Finished last of four behind Jacks Craic over course and distance last time and is 5lb better off for seven lengths. Acts on soft ground. BP=12/1

4) 2564 Super Nomad Mick Easterby 11-11-08 Mick Fitzgerald
One decent effort this term, when second to Polar Gunner at Wetherby, but not so good on other starts. Finished well beaten in his last two races and, though he handles testing ground, and has dropped down the handicap, he will need to show improvement. Came second last year but probably needs better ground. BP=7/1

5) -521 Nycteos Paul Nicholls 5-11-08 NON RUNNER

6) 3-91 Executive Decision Lucy Wadham 12-11-06v Leighton Aspell
Approaching the veteran stage now but still capable of good from, as he showed when scoring last time at Leicester on his favoured soft ground. Won this contest last year, beating Super Nomad a length and is now 11lb worse off. Still could run well. BP=10/1

7) 5723 Key Phil David Wintle 8-11-05 Warren Marston
Happiest on testing ground, as when landing five-runner Bangor contest in April. Has run well last two starts, beaten by progressive Rubberdubber at Newbury in January and then decent third at Exeter last time, and looks a sound prospect if running here in preference to Chepstow. BP=7/1

8) 83P4 Jericho III Venetia Williams 9-11-01b Paul O’Neill (3)
Often goes from the front, running up a four-timer over fences in the early part of last year for his previous trainer. Struggling to reach those heights this season and was fourth to Executive Decision last time and is 6lb better off for 12 lengths. Likes soft ground and is not out of it. BP=9/1

9) 72-7 Arctic Spirit Robin Dickin 11-10-06 Ben Hitchcott
Distant seventh over hurdles on first run for a year, having previously gone down by a length in a handicap chase at Market Rasen. Overall level of form leaves him below the standard required in a race of this nature and all his wins were achieved on better ground. BP=16/1



SUMMARY


The ground is likely to be very testing and KEY PHIL should relish the conditions if running here. In his absence, the value is with PAK JACK.


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