Saturday, March 29, 2003
THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY
US$6 million DUBAI WORLD CUP 10f dirt
5.40pm British time (9.40pm local time) Nad Al Sheba, Dubai
Saturday, March 29, 2003.
Dirt - sunny
BP= best odds from Ladbrokes, Coral, William Hill and Tote
1. 50-15 Blue Burner William Mott 4-9-00 Kent Desormeaux (USA)
BP= 66/1 William Hill
Fifth to Harlan’s Hliday in the Grade One Donn at Gulfstream Park last time out and there is no reason why he should turn the tables.
2. 4-239 Crimson Quest, Jerry Barton 6-9-00 Alex Solis (Saudi Arabia)
BP= 150/1 William Hill
Has been racing in Saudi Arabia and Dubai but is way below this form.
3. 137-1 Grandera, Saeed bin Suroor 5-9-00 Jamie Spencer (UAE)
BP= 11/2 Ladbrokes
Won three Group Ones on turf all at this distance last year and ended the year World Series Champion after racing in six countries. A quirky character who comes with a late swoop. Still has potential to improve. Won his only race on dirt, first time out this season, taking the the Group Two round three of the Maktoum Challenge at Nad Al Sheba comfortbably. Frankie Dettori has deserted him but the replacement, Jamie Spencer, is no slouch.
4. 16-12 Grundlefoot, Kevin McAuliffe 6-9-00 Sebastian Madrid (Saudi Arabia)
BP= 22/1 Tote
Chased home Grandera last time out but was flattered to get within half a length of him. Has plenty to do.
5. 114-9 Hans Anderson, Abdullah Mishreff 5-9-00 Wigberto Ramos (UAE)BP= 80/1 Tote
Has ability but this is a big step up in class.
6. 94-11Harlan's Holiday, Todd Pletcher 4-9-00 John Velazquez (USA)
BP= 7/1 Coral
The American raider who won the Donn Handicap at Gulfstream Park over nine furlongs last time out and who should be considered. He was one of the better three-year-olds last year but could make no impression in the Breeders’ Cup Classic and may have problems with a fast-run 10 furlongs.
7. 312-1 Moon Ballad, Saeed bin Suroor 4-9-00 Lanfranco Dettori (UAE)
BP= 3/1 Coral
Consistent sort who ran well on dirt and turf last year. Close fourth in the UAE Derby last year and athen was third in the Derby and second in the Champion Stakes. Won for the second time on dirt in the Group Three round of the Maktoum challenge last month and is the choice of Godolphin’s stable jockey Frankie Dettori. He should go close.
8. 3421- Nayef, Marcus Tregoning 5-9-00 Richard Hills (GB)
BP= 6/4 Tote & Ladbrokes
Making his seasonal debut and last ran in August when taking the Juddmonte International. He is meant to have worked well on dirt and go on it and has experience of winning at this fixture, having taken the Sheema Classic on turf last year. However, he is short price for having never raced on dirt. No value.
9. 222-2 Sei Me, Jerry Barton 6-9-00 Jose Velez (Saudi Arabia)
BP= 40/1 except Coral
Flattered to be second last year. Very consistent sort.
10.11-24 State Shinto, John Sadler 7-9-00 Johnny Murtagh (UAE)
BP= 100/1 William Hill
Has no chance.
11.162-1 Aquarelliste, Elie Lellouche 4-8-09 Dominique Boeuf (Fr)
Franch raider who is having her last race. Has never raced on dirt and this could be a major disadvantage. Talented filly who was sixth in last year’s Arc.
The value is with the Godolphin horses - Moon Ballad and Grandera. It is not easy to choose between them because Grandera is inexperienced on the dirt and Moon Ballad has not won a Group One so far. However, with GRANDERA being nearly twice the odds of his stable companion, he is taken as the VBC’s choice. Back him each-way.
For old articles (from 1st March 2000) go to the Newslink