Monday, March 19, 2001
LATEST LADBROKES ANTE-POST PRICES
randombet.com Lincoln Handicap - Doncaster March 24th 2001
5 (from 6)-Nimello, 7-Kirovski, 10 (from 12)-Lucky Gitano, 12-Mastermind, 12-Vintage Premium, 16-Bomb Alaska, 16-Judicious, 20-Atlantic Rhapsody, 20-Captain Scott, 20-Hail The Chief, 20-Pulau Tioman, 22-Everest, 25-Calcutta, 25-Desaru, 25-Highland Reel, 25-Roman King, 25-Serra Negra, 25-Swan Knight, 28-Amaranth, 28-Culzean, 28-Greenaway Bay, 28-Pantar, 28-Peartree House, 33-Espada, 33-Exeat, 33-King Priam, 33-Kingsdon, 33-Swift Dispersal, 40-Digital, 40-Freddy Flintstone, 40-Gralmano, 40-Iron Mountain, 40-Masterpiece, 40-Prince Babar, 40-Ridgeway, 40-Salty Jack
Each Way the odds a place 1, 2, 3, 4
Others on request
Sagitta 2000 Guineas - Newmarket 5th May 2000
7/2(from 4)-Nayef, 6-Tobougg, 8-Minardi, 12(from 16)-Tamburlaine, 16-Rumpold, 20-Amiwain, 20-Endless Summer, 20-West Order, 25-Beckett, 25-Carnival Dancer, 25-Celtic Silence, 25-Equerry, 25-Frenchmans Bay, 25-Golan, 25-Mozart, 25-Perigee Moon, 25-Raneem, 25-Tempest, 33-Alunite, 33-Atlantis Prince, 33-Black Minnaloushe, 33-Bonnard, 33-Certaun Justice, 33-Clearing, 33-Demophilos, 33-Dubai Vision, 33-Elnahaar, 33-Ishiguru, 33-King's County, 33-Theatre Script, 33-Waredd
Each way 1/4 odds Places 1, 2, 3
Others on request
Sagitta 1000 Guineas - Newmarket May 6th 2001
5-Regal Rose, 9-Crystal Music, 10-Autumn Rhythm, 10-Karasta, 12-Enthused 14-Muwakleh, 16-Sequoyah, 20-Amonita, 20-Quick To Please, 25-Ameerat 25-Ascension, 25-Flight Of Fancy, 25-Goncharova, 25-Hotelgenie Dot Com, 25-Matanilla, 25-Peaceful Paradise, 25-Sayedah, 25-Stunning, 25-Summer Symphony, 25-Tarfshi, 25-Tempting Fate, 25-Verasina, 33-Alshadiyah, 33-Dora Carrington, 33-Fantasy Royale, 33-Fully Invested 33-Ghazal, 33-Imagine, 33-Katherine Seymour, 33-La Passine, 33-Mala Mala 33-Pretty Girl, 33-Silky Dawn, 33-South Of Saturn
Each way the odds a place 1, 2, 3
Others on Request
Emirates Dubai World Cup 25th March 2001
7/4-Best Of The Bests, 2-Captain Steve, 9/2-Aptitude, 8-Hightori, 16-Broche 16-Ekraar, 20-Kingsalsa, 20-To The Victory, 25-State Shinto, 33-Early Morning, 33-Our Aristotle, 40-Regular Member, 100-Sei Mi
Each way 1/5 the odds a place 1, 2, 3
Martell Grand National - Aintree April 7th 2001
12-Beau, 14-Earthmover, 14-Mely Moss, 16-Noble Lord, 25-Browjoshy 25-Dark Stranger, 25-Moral Support, 25-Smarty, 25-Take Control, 33-Ackzo 33-Addington Boy, 33-Brave Highlander, 33-Djeddah, 33-Edmond, 33-Florida Pearl, 33-General Wolfe, 33-Inn At The Top, 33-Kingsmark 33-Niki Dee, 33-Paddy's Return, 33-Scotton Green, 33-Streamstown 33-Supreme Charm, 33-The Last Fling
Each way the odds a place 1, 2, 3, 4
Others on request
Vodafone Derby - Epsom 9th June 2001
10-Nayef, 12-Galileo, 12-Golan, 16-Dilshaan, 16-Hemingway, 20-Aldwych, 20-Milan, 20-Tobougg, 25-Beckett, 25-Equerry, 25-Mozart, 25-Vacamonte, 25-Wareed, 33-Alunissage, 33-Demophilos, 33-Fair Question, 33-Mediterranean, 33-Musha Merr, 33-Narrative, 33-Theatre Script, 40-Afadan, 40-Alunite, 40-Beekeeper, 40-Bonnard, 40-Caughnawaga, 40-Colorado Falls, 40-Count Dubois, 40-Darwin, 40-Elnahaar 40-Hill Country, 40-Ice Dancer, 40-King Charlemagne, 40-King's County, 40-Mersey Sound, 40-Mosayter, 40-Nawamees, 40-Perigee Moon, 40-Random Quest
Each way 1/4 odds Places 1,2,3,
Others on request
FERNELEY COULD STILL HEAD FOR THE LINCOLN
Last year's randombet.com Lincoln heroJohn Fereneley could still line up for the 2001 renewal ans is amongst the 67 accecptors for this year's race.
Jack Ramsden, husband of the gelding's trainer Lynda Ramsden reported: "All I said the other day was that there was a chance he would not run.
"Bookmakers were too hasty to take him out of the betting at the same time as shortening the price of Mastermind, our other entry.
"We will take a look at the race on Thursday morning and make our decision.
"I reckon it is about 50-50 at this stage."
WARWICK ON TOMORROW - HUNTINGDON INSPECT FOR WEDNESDAY
Tomorrow's meeting at Warwick looks set to beat the weather and go ahead as planned.
After an inspection of the course this morning Clerk of the Course Hugo Bevan reported: "Racing goes ahead, we have passed the inspection.
"There was no rain overnight. We had a slight frost but it is a lovely drying day.
"Unless there is a downpour - which isn't forecast - there is no reason we shouldn't race tomorrow. But it will be very heavy ground."
Meanwhile the meeting at Huntingdon on Wednesday is subject to an inspection at 3pm tomorrow. Waterlogging is the potential problem.
NO MORE POINT TO POINTS THIS SEASON
A meeting of the Jockey Club Point-to-Point Liason Committee today decided to call off all remaining point-to-point fixtures.
Committee chairman Mark Davies reported: "We looked at a number of options and the decision to cancel was taken with great regret.
"However, given the close links between farming, hunting and point-to-pointing, in order for the season to resume it was essential that point-to-pointing could meet the same level of precautions that are in place for racing under rules.
"Unfortunately the nature of our sport makes that impossible and furthermore it is clear that those precautions will be in place for some considerable time."
The next point-to-point fixtures will take place in January 2002.
DUBAI WORLD CUP UPDATE
Monday, five days before the Dubai World Cup, the world¹s richest race meeting, was another placid morning on the training circuits with again only a very few of the horses who will compete on the gala night out for any serious work.
The Saudi Arabia trained pair of SEI MI and CRIMSON QUEST were seen out again today following Sunday's half speed 1200 metres workout.
The Jerry Barton trained duo were clocked individually this morning as they were allowed to slip along from the 1000 metres pole. CRIMSON QUEST who is headed for the US$2 million Dubai Sheema Classic (Gr.2, 2400m, Turf), sponsored by Jebel Ali Free Zone and Dubai Ports Authority led off before stopping the watch at 1.01.05 while SEI MI, regarded by market framers as a long shot for the US$6 million Dubai World Cup (Gr. 1, 2000m, Dirt), sponsored by Emirates and the first leg of the Emirates World Series for 2001, was timed at 1.01.9. CRIMSON QUEST and SEI MI were locked together through the final 400 metres in 24.62 seconds.
ONE WON ONE, Ireland's candidate for the US$1 million Godolphin Mile (Gr. 3, 1600m, Dirt), sponsored by Jebel Ali Hotel and Golf Resort, worked attractively under trainer Joanna Morgan.
The seven-year-old winner, in Abu Dhabi of the HH Presidents Cup (1400m) on 31 January was never off the bridle in a piece of work over 1000 metres, final 600 metres in 37 seconds and last 400 metres in 24.91 seconds.
Most of the United States contingent in Dubai for the March 24 extravaganza was kept at home, around their quarantine stables this morning.
The Bobby Frankel team of APTITUDE, entered for the Dubai World Cup and LIDOm PALACE, lining up in the US$2 million UAE Derby (Gr. 3, 1800m, Dirt), who were sent out to make time yesterday were allowed the morning off being taken out only for walking exercise.
MEN'S EXCLUSIVE, confirmed for the US$2 million Dubai Golden Shaheen (Gr. 3, 1200m, Dirt) was also just out for a walk following yesterday's slick 800 metres gallop while compatriot CALLER ONE, also to go in the Dubai Golden Shaheen was jogged on an exercise track.
Two purebred Arabians representing the United States in the Dubai Kahayla Classic (Gr. 1, 2000m, Dirt), sponsored by EMAAR, the world's richest event for Pure Arabians, were on the main circuit.
The Alma Jean Moore trained LINE DANCER worked steadily for a lap before quickening into a final 1000 metres in 1 minute 16.5 seconds while the Billy Lewis prepared MAGELLAN galloped over 1000 metres, final 600 metres in 39.6 with the last 400 metres in 26.9 seconds.
Just after MAGELLAN hit the line Lewis listening, by phone, heard another of his charges win a race at Los Alamitos in California.
Earlier in the morning the Luca Cumani pair of ENDLESS HALL and ARKADIAN HERO were let off with light exercise jogging a lap of the main dirt track.
ENDLESS HALL goes for the Dubai World Cup while ARKADIAN HERO will take on the likes of SUNLINE, FAIRY KING PRAWN and others in the US$2 million Dubai Duty Free (Gr. 2, 1777m, Turf), sponsored by Dubai Duty Free.
SUNLINE was out for pace work before dawn while FAIRY KING PRAWN took light exercise over a lap in company with stable companions DALIAPOUR and INDIGENOUS.
Singapore's ARISTOTLE, winner of the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy during his British juvenile career had his first look at the Nad Al Sheba dirt during a two lap traverse of the main track.
GLOBEFORM RATINGS - DUBAI WORLD CUP 2001
127 - CAPTAIN STEVE
124? - BEST OF THE BESTS
123 - APTITUDE
121 - EKRAAR
117 - STATE SHINTO
115 - BROCHE
115 - KINGSALSA
114 - OUR ARISTOTLE
110 - EARLY WARNING
? REGULAR MEMBER, SEI MEI and TO THE VICTORY
The main contenders:
APTITUDE (A.P. Indy) GF 123
US trainer Robert Frankel ran Public Purse, a G2 winner, in last year's Dubai World Cup. That horse ran a respectable third behind Dubai Millennium. Frankel now sends Aptitude, who was one of the best 3-year-olds in the US last year. Aptitude ran a good second to Fusaichi Pegasus in the Kentucky Derby (G1). He was staying on really well at Churchill Downs that day and looked a ready made winner of the Belmont Stakes (G1). A race he probably should have won. After being given far too much to do in a far too slowly run race, he was facing an impossible task turning for home. A late surge brought him up to second place, behind the surprise winner Commendable.
A mile and a half clearly suits Aptitude, who is a son on A.P. Indy, the winner of both the Belmont Stakes (G1) and the Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) at three, when he was Horse of The Year. Well, if Aptitude is to be campaigned over 12 furlongs (2400 metres) in the US, Frankel would have to switch him to turf. Over a mile and a quarter, Aptitude needs a strong pace. He is a good horse, deserving a G1 win, but he has been rather disappointing since that fine run in the Belmont last summer. He was sidelined from June to November, when he came back to win a small race at Churchill Downs. Aptitude was long odds-on in rather a moderate field, and he won but he was anything but impressive. Still about five lengths down on a front-running outsider a furlong out, he had to be hard ridden to get the job done. After that come-back, his very poor eighth in the Clark Handicap (G2), well behind Surfside, was not too suprising. For some reason, Aptitude was not back to his best. The reason was found to be a respiratory problem and he has now had a throat operation. The Dubai World Cup will be his second come-back race in just over four months, and it sure looks a lot tougher than the one won at Churchill Downs last autumn. English bookmakers have him at around
5-1, as third favorite is that good value, for a horse with queation marks hanging over him, running against Captain Steve and Best Of The Bests?
BEST OF THE BESTS (Machiavellian) GF 124?
Godolphin's best card. Best Of The Bests joined Godolphin after running a very good second in the Royal Lodge Stakes (G2) as a juvenile. His classic campiagn was not exactly plain sailing, but he revealed his talent more than once. After being fourth in the Derby (G1) and third in the Grand Prix de Paris (G1), he ran out an impressive winner of the Prix Guillamou d'Ornano (G2) at Deauville, where he beat Kutub (now also in the Godolphin team) by 4 lengths. Best Of The Bests became Godolphin's weapon against Giant's Causeway in the Irish Champion Stakes (G1) as Dubai Millennium was injured. Frankie Dettori went for a gamble in Ireland. As it had proved virtually suicidal to have a long head-to-head battle with Giant's Causeway, Dettori played his hand early at Leopardstown. He kicked Best Of The Bests into overdrive before they had turned for home and the pair opened up a lead. It was not to work. Best Of The Bests was outstayed by a determined Giant's Causeway, who wore him down, but then ran out of steam himself and nearly lost the race to a late rally by Greek Dance. Best Of The Bests cracked but he was beaten only about 1 ½ lengths (not 2 ½ as was the official margin). It was his best run of the year, and he made a quick reappearance to take third behind Observatory and Giant's Causeway when the latter was finally beaten in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1) at Ascot.
Best Of The Bests looked very much like a 9-furlong horse last year and his prep race in Dubai gives support to that interpretation of his form. He tackled that trip when winning the Maktoum Challenge II (LR) at Nad Al Sheba in February. Best Of The Bests beat Sobieski (a Dubai Duty Free contender) by 12 lengths. That was a most impressive trial and without doubt Best Of The Bests finest race. We rate him on 124? in the Maktoum Challenge, a race which is not easy to evaluate. That is a couple of lengths better than his 3yo-form. Best Of The Bests could take another step up and become a real champion this year, but will that vital step be taken in a strongly run race
over a mile and a quarter?
BROCHE (Summer Squall) GF 115
Broche is a bit of a "dark horse" in the World Cup field. Coming off a second, beaten half a length, to Hightori in the Maktoum Challenge III (G3) over the World Cup course and distance on March 1, he does not look quite good enough to win a race like this. Then again, neither did Godolphin's 14-1 shot Almutawakel prior to winning the 1999 edition. Broche has always been highly regarded. The son of the Preakness Stakes (G1) winner Summer Squall began his career with John Oxx in Ireland, who ran him once for a win as a juvenile. Last year he was unplaced in the UAE Derby (Prestige), 2000 Guineas and Derby (G1), before running fifth behind Holding Court in a sub-standard edition of the Prix du Jockey Club (G1) a race run on very heavy ground. Prior to his two Derby runs, Broche won a decent race at Doncaster by 4 lengths but it is hardly unfair to say that he failed to live up to expectations. Can he make up for it this year? Possibly, his performance behind Hightori was promising, and we must remember that Broche is a very lightly raced 4-year-old. He stays the World Cup trip really well and could sneak into the first four on Saturday.
CAPTAIN STEVE (Fly So Free) GF 127
Captain Steve is without doubt the horse to beat in this year's Dubai World Cup. He is a tempting bet at 5-2 with Victor Chandler. The US price will not be anywhere near that mark Captain Steve put up an incredible seasonal debut in the Donn Handicap (G1) at Gulfstream Park last month and on that performance he is our top rated horse in the Dubai World Cup 2001. Pulling more than ten lengths clear of the third placed Gander, Captain Steve and runner-up Albert the Great were both very impressive. Captain Steve, ridden by Jerry Bailey, beat Albert The Great by a length and a quarter, conceding one pound. He ran to GF 127 and a reproduction of that form will make him a very hard horse to beat on Saturday.
Captain Steve has a lot going for him. He is trained by Bob Baffert, who sent out Silver Charm to defeat Swain in 1998, he will be ridden by Jerry Bailey, and he is a handy type of horse who can stay close to the pace and stil be strong at the finish. This gives him a tactical advantage over Best Of The Bests, who may not quite stay the trip. Bailey knows how to ride Nad Al Sheba. He won the inaugural World Cup on Cigar, and came back to win it again on Singspiel. Bailey, who had a 27 per cent strike rate in the US in
2000, is certainly a man to have on your side in major events. Defeat does not swallow well down this man's throat. After partnering Victory Gallop to be third in 1999, Bailey was held up on the track for about five minutes coming back in, and lost his patience a bit: "Can we go now", Bailey asked ground staff on the landing stripe. Pointing at Victory Gallop's head, he said; "he's tired and I wanna go home!"
In Captain Steve Bailey has a partner who does not tire too easily. Captain Steve will probably be running over his best distance in the World Cup. Though he has excellent form to his name also over nine furlongs, he has proved fully effective over a mile and a quarter. He ran a very solid race to be third in last year's Breeders' Cup Classic (G1) at Churchill Downs where the surface is very similar to that at Nad Al Sheba. Captain Steve was staying on strongly to pip Albert the Great for third that day, 3 lengths behind the winner Tiznow. He had earlier been a close second to Tiznow in the Goodwood Breeders' Cup Handicap (G2) at Santa Anita, and he was the winner of the Swale Stakes (G1) from a then less experienced Tiznow and the Kentucky Cup Classic (G2). Captain Steve had a tough campaign also at two, when he landed the Hollywood Futurity (G1). He is a very tough horse and, judged on his Donn form, one set for an excellent season. He is a worthy favourite of the Dubai World Cup 2001.
EKRAAR (Red Ransom) GF 121
This is a very fascinating contender. The new Godolphin recruit Ekraar will not be on many an expert's shortlist but perhaps such an omission will prive to be a mistake? Ekraar's clear advantage is that he is a true mile and a quarter specialist. He won three races on the trot in England last year, putting up his best performance when beating National Anthem by 5 lenghts in the Select Stakes (G3) at Goodwood. Ekraar, a son of Red Ransom, was one of the best juveniles in England in 1999. He won the Vintage Stakes (G3) and was third in the Racing Post Trophy (G1). When in top form, Ekraar is a game and enthusiastic runner. He was beaten by Hightori, Broche and Sobieski in
the Maktoum Challenge III (G3) but, as we should all know, prep races are far from guaranteed to give us the order of finish in the main event. Do not be too surprised if Ekraar manage to turn the tables on Hightori and Broche in the World Cup. That, however, will be an easier task than making a race of it with Captain Steve and Best Of The Bests.
HIGHTORI (Vettori) GF 117+
A four-year-old with plenty of scope, Hightori still falls into the "could be anything" bracket. He ran some promising races as a juvenile but was held up for most his classic season. Hightori, a son of Godolphin's classic winning miler Vettori, ran only twice last year. He made a pleasing come-back in the Prix du Prince d'Orange (G3), beating Bleu d'Altair by a length. That was not above average G3 form but Hightori improved a good four lengths or so next time out, in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (G1). He was never seen with a chance against the mighty Sinndar, but he ran a sound race for fifth, beaten just over seven lengths. That run proves that he stays a mile and a half but he may prove best over shorter. Hightori's Dubai debut was very promising. He won the Maktoum Challenge III (G3) from Broche, Sobieski and Ekraar. Ekraar ran below his best that day and as mentioned in his essay, he can be expected to get closer to Hightori in the big race. Hightori, on the other hand, is the one most likely to improve again and he should uphold the form. He will run a big race but winning looks beyond him.
KINGSALSA (Kingmambo) GF 115
Andre Fabre's contender Kingsalsa is not quite top class in Europe, but he is very game and consistent. Will he be effective over the World Cup distance? His best form so far has been over a mile. Kingsalsa was beaten 2 lengths by Indian Lodge when second in the Prix du Moulin (G1) at Longchamp in September. That was his best form but he ran very close to it also when third to Muhtathir and Sendawar in the Prix Jacque le Marois (G1), and when second to Kabool in the Prix du Rond-Point (G2). Kingsalsa has the valuable advantage of experience at Nad Al Sheba. He ran third to Rhythm Band and Easaar in last year's Dubai Duty Free (G3). He made a winning seasonal debut at Maisons-Laffitte on March 2, beating Dionelli and Le Roi Chic narrowly. He will have to step up considerably on that form to figure here.
OUR ARISTOTLE (Sadler's Wells) GF 114
Known as Aristotle in Europe as a two and three-year-old, Our Aristotle is now one of the best horses in Singapore. He won the Racing Post Trophy (G1) in his first season (Ekraar third), when trained by Aidan O'Brien, and he was first past the post in a G2 at three. Aristotle came home in front of Rhenium in the Prix Greffulhe (G2) last May (Sobieski sixth), but was demoted to third after veering badly. He disappointed in the Derby (G1) at Epsom, coming home in tenth place behind Sinndar (he was later reported to be suffering from cysts on epiglottis). That was Our Aristotle's last run in Europe. He finished third to Silvano and Caitano in the Singapore Cup three weeks before World Cup day. He is a very useful horse but a mile and a half probably suits him much better than a mile and a quarter, and the opposition is tougher than ever.
STATE SHINTO (Pleasant Colony) GF 114 (117+ in 1999)
State Shinto made his name internationally when winning the Prix Dollar (G2) at Longchamp at the Arc meeting of 1999, when the ground was very heavy. State Shinto was primed in typical Andre Fabre style for the Arc week-end, where he added to his win in the Prix du Prince d'Orange (G2) a few week earlier. The son of Pleasant Colony was since transeferred to Godolphin but the boys in blue had relatively little joy with him in 2000. State Shinto failed to win last term but he was third behind Greek Dance in a Group 1 in Germany. He has started 2001 much better and is coming off a hard fought win over China Visit in the Shadwell Farm LLC Conditions Race over a mile at Nad Al Sheba. State Shinto was receiving seven pounds from China Visit (a Godolphin Mile entry) and that peformance, promising as it was, falls short of his best 3-year-old form. On the plus side, it was achieved over a mile, which is too sharp for him. State Shinto will run better over a mile and a quarter.
13-8 Best Of The Bests, 5-2 Captain Steve, 9-2 Aptitude, 6-1 Hightori, 14 Broche, 16 Ekraar, 20 Kingsalsa, 25 To The Victory, Our Aristotle and State Shinto, 33 Early Warning, 50 Se Mei and Regular Member.
2.62 Captain Steve, 2.87 Best Of The Bests, 8.0 Hightori and Aptitude, 15.0 Kingsalsa and Ekraar, 17.0 Broche, 21.0 State Shinto, 26.0 To The Victory, 41.0 Our Aristotle and Early Warning, 51.0 Regular Member, 101.0 Sei Mei (prices including stake).
6-4 Captain Steve, 2-1 Best Of The Bests, 11-2 Aptitude, 6 Hightori, 16 Ekraar and Kingsalsa, 20 Broche and To The Victory, 25 State Shinto, 33 Aristotle and Early Warning, 40 Regular Member, 100 Sei Mei.
GLOBEFORM RATINGS FOR THE KENTUCKY DERBY CONTENDERS
Ratings updated 19 March
125+ MONARCHOS Florida Derby (G1)
123+ POINT GIVEN Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1)
123+ D'WILDCAT The Swale (G3) *
120+ STREET CRY Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1)
120 AP VALENTINE Champagne Stakes (G1)
119 BURNING ROMA Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) *
118+ CRAFTY C.T. San Rafael Stakes (G2) *
118 HOOVERGETHEKEYS El Camino Real Derby (G3)
118 SONGANDAPRAYER Fountain of Youth Stakes (G1)
116 OUTOFTHEBOX Florida Derby (G1)
116 CITY ZIP Hutcheson Stakes (G2)
114+ CONGAREE 1 1/16 m. Allowance Santa Anita
114+ RICHLY BLENDED Gotham Stakes (G3)
114 FIFTY STARS Louisiana Derby (G2)
114 MILLENNIUM WIND Hollywood Futurity (G1)
114 PALMEIRO Santa Catalina Stakes (G2)
113 MEEETYOUATHEBRIG Iroquois Stakes (G3)
112 HERO'S TRIBUTE 1 1/16 m. Allowance Gulfstream
111+ INVISIBLE INK Florida Derby (G1)
111 OMMADON Nashua Stakes (G3)
110+ DOLLAR BILL Louisiana Derby (G2) and Risen Star S. (LR)
110 DREAM RUN Florida Derby (G1)
*) D'wildcat, Crafty C.T. and Burning Roma are not certain to be trained for
the Kentucky Derby.
Monarchos looked special in the Florida Derby, where he also gave the impression that he will stay a mile and a quarter. He is the best winner of the Florida Derby for many a moon and looks a most serious Kentucky Derby horse. He has won his three races this term and is still a progressive horse. Further improvement will make him a horse rated closer to 130 than 125 and he is well above average for a Derby horse in March.
Point Given is guaranteed to stay the trip, judged on the way he finished in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile. He has yet to race as a 3yo when these lines are written. A convincing win in his return, in the San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita on March 17, will put him of course for the Santa Anita Derby. If he has retained his best juvenile form, he is a strong Derby contender. He ran to GF 115+ winning the San Felipe Stakes, a satisfactory seasonal debut (he had little to beat).
Street Cry is bred to stay a mile and a half, he ran a race full of promise in last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile and his win in the UAE 2000 Guineas was quite impressive. He runs in the UAE Derby on World Cup day as the likely favourite and is undoubtedly a nice prospect for the Kentucky Derby.
Hoovergethekeys is one of the the dark horses on the list. His win in the El Camino Real Derby was very convincing. He had beaten High Cascade easily in his previous start, and took another big step forward to leave Startac 7 lengths behind at Golden Gate. Startac was coming off a win in the Turfway Park Derby and this form should not be underestimated.
Richly Blended, unbeaten in three runs after his convincing win in the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct, is the latest newcomer on the list. The son of Rizzi is yet to be pressed (he has won by 15 lengths, 7 lengths and 5 lengths) and he looks a very exciting prospect - but his future probably lies in big events at about a mile, rather than a mile and a quarter.
Congaree impressed at Santa Anita on Saturday, where he won an allowance race by 8 lengths. The third placed Bills Paid gives us a line to a couple of decent stakes races run earlier at the meet and Congaree has been given a provisional rating of 114+, which is very high for a horse with little experience. It will be interesting to see him in one of the main trails. As a son of Aeazi, who is a surprising influence for stamina, Congaree should stay the Derby distance.
For old articles (from 1st March 2000) go to the Newslink