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Saturday, December 9, 2006


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN every Saturday

Cheltenham, Saturday, December 9, 2006

12.55pm £20,000 Jenny Mould Memorial Handicap Chase, 2m 1/2f

GOING: Soft



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com

1) 1PP-36 TYSOU Nicky Henderson 9-11-12 Mick Fitzgerald
Leading handicapper who won this race last year. But he has never won off this high a mark and has to shoulder top-weight on ground softer than ideal.

2) F3-33 ANDREAS Paul Nicholls 6-11-10 Non-runner

3)12/1- BABY RUN Nigel Twiston-Davies 6-11-06 Tony Evans
Classy novice hurdler two years ago. Defeated Andreas on chase debut at Aintree in October, 2005, but has not raced since. Potential each-way chance.


4) 1F-56 JACK’S CRAIC John Spearing 7-11-06 Paddy Brennan
Won three handicap chases at this sort of trip last season. Has found the going tough in two outings this term and the handicapper may have his measure for the moment.

5) 230-8 GREEN BELT FLYER Venetia Williams 8-11-04 Tom Treacy
Has plenty of smart Irish form to his name. He was beaten a long way on debut for new yard at Newbury last month but loves soft ground and can improve on that. He is terrific value each-way from a yard in form.


6) 106-4 KALCA MOME Philip Hobbs 8-11-01 Richard Johnson
Well clear of Jack’s Craic, Locksmith and Green Belt Flyer when fourth at Newbury last time. Solid claims on his third to Tysou in last season’s Victor Chandler Chase. He goes well in very soft ground and has a big chance.

7) 25-05 KELREV Venetia Williams 8-1-01 Sam Thomas
Has smart form at Cheltenham, including when second to Non So over four and a half furlongs further at the Festival in March but the question is whether he is as good over this shorter trip and on very soft ground.

8) 0-460 LOCKSMITH David Pipe 6-10-12 Timmy Murphy
Smart novice two seasons ago but has not shown best form for a while. A significant drop in the handicap was not enough to avoid a sound beating at Newbury recently. Has potential still.

9) -65F1 DARBY WALL Enda Bolger IRE 8-10-11 Davy Russell
Won a handicap chase at Cheltenham in October but that was run over a mile further than today’s contest. Interesting contender given that he is in form and the testing ground may bring his stamina into play but others make more appeal.

10) 212F- MARKED MAN Richard Lee10-10-10 Tom Doyle
Consistent handicapper having his first start in almost a year. Can go well fresh but is not particularly well handicapped and is getting no younger while the very soft ground may be against him.

11) 241P6 ANOTHER JOKER John Needham 11-10-04 Jason Maguire
Handicapped to the hilt following victory in a Stratford handicap in September and requires a career best effort to make the frame. Also likes fast ground.

12) 2-225 BOHEMIAN SPIRIT Nicky Richards 8-10-04 Miss Rose Davidsion (5)
Former hunter chaser who could still be on the upgrade. Good effort when fifth in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen in July. Will benefit from his useful amateur’s 5lb claim but prefers a sound surface.

SUMMARY>/b>
The value is with Green Belt Flyer each-way

GOOD LUCK


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