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Saturday, October 13, 2007


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

YORK, SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13, 2007

2.40pm £12,500 SHEPHERD GROUP HANDICAP 2m 2f

GOING: GOOD TO SOFT, GOOD IN PLACES



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1) 08-381 MIRJAN Len Lungo 11 10-00b Paul Hanagan
Veteran dual purpose performer who showed he still retains plenty of ability with a battling success at Newcastle in August. Trip and ground no problem but welter burden to contend with and always vulnerable to something lower down the handicap. BP= 6/1

2) 144069 MONOLITH Len Lungo 9-9-01 Gary Bartley (5)
Scored over a mile and five furlongs at Hamilton in May although most form has been over longer trips [hurdles winner over three miles]. However, he has not really threatened the judge since and was well beaten at Ayr earlier this month; looks the stable second string and would prefer faster ground. BP= 14/1

3) 242225 PRINCE ZAFONIC Gay Kelleway 4-8-13t Neil Callan
Consistent sort who has finished runner-up four times this year under different pilots. Not beaten that far in a better race on soft ground at Ascot last time and a positive jockey booking makes him worth a second look but he seems very one-paced. BP= 7/1

4) 5-1711 GALLILEO FIGARO Neil King 4-8-07 Jerry OìDwyer (3)
In fine form this term, landing three of his last four starts, including on testing ground over this course and distance in July. Has been off for two and a half months but progressive profile means his chance must be taken seriously. BP= 7/2

5) 324504 KAYF ARAMIS John Spearing 5-8-10p Chris Catlin
Fifth in this race a year ago but has scored twice at this track in the past. Likes to get his toe in so the more rain the better. First run back recently and is racing off a fair mark, just 1lb higher than when he won here earlier in the year. BP= 7/1

6) 806214 MISSOULA Mark Tompkins 4-8-10 Jimmy Quinn
Quietly progressive this year, taking two-mile handicap at Chester last month, and ran well when a close fourth at Bath 12 days ago. Has a chance. BP= 10/1

7) 211513 ATLANTIC COAST Mark Johnston 3-8-00 Royston Ffrench
Youngest in this line-up and beat Prince Zafonic by a neck on similar terms at Yarmouth in September. Trainer’s runners can never be discounted but this one has not been at his best in two tries here previously. Also is racing off his highest mark. BP= 9/4

SUMMARY

An open handicap in which KAYF ARAMIS is the value bet.


Good Luck


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