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Saturday, October 29, 2005


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

BELMONT PARK, USA, SATURDAY, OCTOBER 29,2005

9:55pm (British time) US$2-million John Deere Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade One) 1m 4f


GOING:Likely to be on the soft side of good.

for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1 (1) 439880 Shake The Bank Graham Motion USA 5-9-00b T G Turner
Finished a long way adrift of today's rival Better Talk Now in his last two starts and is surely outclassed in this company. A front-runner. BP=250/1

2 (2) 3131-34 Shirocco Andre Fabre FR 4-9-00 Christophe Soumillon
Talented four-year-old who ran a great race to be fourth in the Arc on his latest run. Has won twice at Group One level on soft and heavy going and is the one member of the field guaranteed to be suited by the underfoot conditions but is he good enough? The value has gone anyway. BP=11/2

3 (3) 1-12333 Bago Jonathan Pease FR 4-9-00 Thierry Gillet
Won the Arc last year and finished an excellent third in this year's renewal, beaten three and a half lengths, after an indifferent passage through the race Should handle the ground, sure to be thereabouts and has plenty of class. Very solid each-way chance. BP= 4/1

4 (4) 6-14141 Better Talk Now Graham Motion USA 6-9-00b R A Dominguez
Arrives in great form, having collected the Man O'War Stakes on his latest start. Sprang a huge surprise when winning this last year at odds of 33/1 and should give another good account. BP=7/1

5 (5) 3-4115 Azamour John M Oxx IRE 4-9-00 Mick Kinane
Brilliant winner of this year's King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes with two of today's opponents, Bago and Ace, behind in third and fifth position. A class colt but not sure to handle the softish ground. BP=7/2

6 (6) 325443 Ace Aidan O'Brien IRE 4-9-00v Kieren Fallon
Consistent four-year-old who always runs his race, including when third behind Shakespeare and English Channel over course and distance last time out, but has never won at this trip. Always just found wanting at the highest level and may not appreciate the ground. BP=16/1

7 (7) 11-111 Shakespeare Bill Motts USA 4-9-00 Jerry Bailey
Has won all five of his races, beating English Channel and Ace last time out in a Grade One contest over course and distance in early October. Open to improvement but has done all his racing on a firm surface and will not have encountered this type of ground before and also is relatively inexperienced for his biggest test. BP= 6/1

8 (8) 5-11271 Silverfoot D Stewart USA 5-9-00 R Bejarano
Successful last time in a Grade Three race and had previously run second to Better Talk Now in a Grade One on a soft surface. Could run into a place. BP= 40/1

9 (9) 113231 Fourty Niners Son Neil Drysdale USA 4-9-00 Corey Nakatani
Third in the Arlington Million this year before winning a Grade One race over 10 furlongs at Santa Anita. Never run at the trip before and will need to show improved form to figure here. BP=25/1

10 (10) 111122 English Channel Tod Pletcher USA 3-8-09 J R Velazquez
Ultra-consistent three-year-old who has only finished outside the first two once in eight races. Beaten a head by Shakespeare over course and distance last time out and cannot bedismissed bu this is his biggest test. BP=14/1

11 (11) 195123 Laura's Lucky Boy Richard E Mandella USA 4-9-00 Gary Stevens
Third behind Fourty Niners Son and Leprechaun Kid last time out and the level of his form does not look up to some of these. BP=66/1

12 (12) 68-6312 Leprechaun Kid M Mitchell USA 6-9-00 Garrett Gomez
Six-year-old gelding who is a veteran of 39 career starts. Has form with a couple of today's rivals but vulnerable to the younger brigade and passed over in this championship contest.
BP=50/1

13 (13) 613111 Gun Salute Bill Mott USA 3-8-09b C Velasquez
On a four-timer having won last three starts, the latest over nine furlongs at Hawthorne. Beat English Channel the time before and could be the surprise package in the race. BP=20/1


SUMMARY

A fascinating clash that brings together some of the best 12-furlong horses in the world. The Europeans usually have the edge and BAGO is the one to be on.


For old articles (from 1st March 2000) go to the Newslink Archive


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